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Tropical Storm LIDIA Advisory Thu Aug 31

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017
1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

LONG BEACH/LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

S CATALINA IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

TIJUANA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)

IS GUADALUPE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)  13(15)  12(27)   X(27)   X(27)
PUNTA EUGENIA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
PUNTA EUGENIA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

P ABREOJOS     34  1   1( 2)  10(12)  20(32)   2(34)   X(34)   X(34)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 87   5(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 28   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 95   2(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
SAN JOSE CABO  50 36   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LA PAZ         34 44  38(82)   3(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
LA PAZ         50  4  28(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
LA PAZ         64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LORETO         34  2  18(20)  40(60)   3(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
LORETO         50  X   1( 1)  14(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  14(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GUAYMAS        34  1   2( 3)   9(12)   7(19)   X(19)   1(20)   X(20)

HUATABAMPO     34  2   6( 8)   7(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

LOS MOCHIS     34  9  11(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

CULIACAN       34 10   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MAZATLAN       34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

25N 115W       34  1   X( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

30N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN