Tropical Storm DOLLY Advisory Tue Sep 02

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052014
1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 270N 960W 34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  6   8(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

GFMX 250N 960W 34 22   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

LA PESCA MX    34 19  32(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
LA PESCA MX    50  1   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
LA PESCA MX    64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

TAMPICO MX     34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH