Tropical Storm PAINE Advisory Sun Sep 18

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM PAINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016
1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

IS GUADALUPE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 110W       34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO   34 24   1(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

ISLA CLARION   34  9  13(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

20N 115W       34  3  64(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
20N 115W       50  X  19(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
20N 115W       64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

25N 115W       34  X   2( 2)   9(11)   8(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)

20N 120W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH