Tropical Storm EUGENE Advisory Fri Jul 07

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM EUGENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052017
2100 UTC FRI JUL 07 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EUGENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 110W       34  1   6( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  30(36)  17(53)   X(53)   X(53)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   X(14)   X(14)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

10N 115W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 115W       34  X   8( 8)  51(59)  17(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)
15N 115W       50  X   X( X)  18(18)  18(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)
15N 115W       64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  21(30)   1(31)   X(31)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)  19(42)   1(43)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   1(12)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   9(18)
25N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
FORECASTER ROBERTS