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Tropical Storm NEWTON Advisory Mon Sep 05

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  10(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  8  80(88)   7(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X  54(54)  13(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X  20(20)  11(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  8  79(87)   9(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X  49(49)  14(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X  13(13)  11(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

LA PAZ         34  4  37(41)  52(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
LA PAZ         50  X   6( 6)  53(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)  21(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

LORETO         34  X   7( 7)  58(65)  17(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)  25(25)  19(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  18(23)  14(37)   X(37)   X(37)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
HERMOSILLO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  24(31)  11(42)   X(42)   X(42)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   X(11)   X(11)
BAHIA KINO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

GUAYMAS        34  X   1( 1)  15(16)  34(50)   5(55)   X(55)   X(55)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   5( 5)  26(31)   9(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LOS MOCHIS     34  1   9(10)  24(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CULIACAN       34  4  11(15)   4(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

ISLAS MARIAS   34 58   2(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)

MAZATLAN       34 12   9(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

SAN BLAS       34 18   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

P VALLARTA     34 29   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34 30   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

MANZANILLO     34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

20N 110W       34 40  14(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)

ISLA SOCORRO   34 10   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

25N 115W       34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN