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Tropical Storm MADELINE Advisory Sat Aug 27

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142016
1500 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 140W       34 23  11(34)   2(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
15N 140W       50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 140W       34  X   4( 4)   8(12)   4(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)

15N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  29(35)  41(76)   2(78)   X(78)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  33(40)   1(41)   X(41)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   X(17)   X(17)

25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  29(43)   3(46)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   1(14)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  28(34)   6(40)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   4(12)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  12(22)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
FORECASTER BRENNAN