Issued: 0530hrs Monday 16th May 2022
Duty forecaster: Alexi Venerus

Heavy showers track towards east and southeast Europe.

Monday
Some showery rain affecting northwest Portugal but largely dry and fine elsewhere with sunny spells. Spain will be largely dry, fine and very warm. The Balerics too will be dry with sunshine and very warm. The odd shower cannot be ruled out across central Italy but mostly dry and fine. Thundery showers affecting Greece and parts of Turkey.
Thundery, showery rain pushes across much of France with showers being more confined to eastern areas later in the day, though the south of France looking to remain dry. The thundery, heavy rain will affect the Netherlands as well as Germany with heavy showers still across Switzerland and Austria. The Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland should be dry until evening.
High pressure close by Norway allows for mostly dry and fine conditions through Norway and Sweden. Outbreaks of rain affecting Finland. Mostly dry for Denmark but heavy rain will push up from the south later. Mainly dry and fine through the Baltics states.

Tuesday
Some cloud and rain pushing into northwest Spain and north Portugal. Elsewhere here will be dry with sunshine. Dry, fine and very warm across the Balearics as well as much of Italy and the surrounding islands, though a few heavier showers look to develop down central areas of Italy later. Some thundery showers developing across Greece for a time during the middle part of the day but mainly dry here otherwise and across Turkey.
Scattered showers affecting northern and eastern regions of France but dry with sunny spells elsewhere. A few scattered showers also across the Low Countries and Germany but many places remaining dry here. Any showers clearing the Czech Republic and Hungary to see largely dry and fine conditions generally here. Sunny spells and showers across Austria and Switzerland with heavy showers affecting northern Croatia.
High pressure keeps weather largely dry and fine across Scandinavia, though heavy rain will push on to northern Norway. Also, a few morning showers will affect Denmark, then a drier afternoon here.